Tom Duncan
at Sound Money Project
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Monetary Policy in a World of Uncertain Productivity Growth
“This paper considers inflation forecasts for 2001 under two different assumptions about productivity growth. One assumption, the optimistic one, is that productivity growth has risen above its long-run historical average and that 2001 will see near price stability. The other, the pessimistic one, is that monetary policy itself has been a major factor influencing productivity…
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Inflation
“Inflation rates vary from year to year and from currency to currency. Since 1950, the U.S. dollar inflation rate, as measured by the December-to-December change in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), has ranged from a low of −0.7 percent (1954) to a high of 13.3 percent (1979). Since 1991, the rate has stayed between…
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“Obama Pays More Than Buffett”
“The bond market is saying that it’s safer to lend to Warren Buffett than Barack Obama. Two-year notes sold by the billionaire’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. in February yield 3.5 basis points less than Treasuries of similar maturity, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Procter & Gamble Co., Johnson & Johnson and Lowe’s Cos. debt also…
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“Bailout Bonanza”
“Sen. Chris Dodd’s latest bill to fix the financial system is another failure. After months of negotiation, he’s produced a “reform” of the regulatory system that simply fails to deal with the causes of the 2008 crisis — which nearly saw the collapse of the US banking system. Reform is urgently needed, but the senator…
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“Placing our faith in economic oracles”
“One of the sadder categories in the history of human misfortunes is the list of those things that are obvious, but wrong. By definition, if something is obvious, most people agree with it, and thus, it is likely to win the day – but lose the verdict of history. The Earth is flat – obviously.…
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“Something Besides Money Growth Causes Inflation?”
“Some economic phenomena can result from a variety of causes. A temporary increase in unemployment, for example, might be caused by a sudden, disruptive change in production technology, or in trade patterns, or in labor or tax laws; or it could be caused by natural disasters or wars, or by recessions due to monetary or…
-
“Giving the Fed New Powers Ignores History”
“The Fed’s own origins are evidence for this point. It is usually argued that the Fed was created to avoid the banking crises that plagued the United States in the late 19th century. That is true to an extent. What it misses is that those crises were the product of the regulations of the National…
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“Competitve Currencies, Legal Restrictions and the Origins of the Fed”
“In the last several years, economists have produced numoerous studies examining both the theoretical operations and historical manifestations of unregulated banking systems. Recent examples of historical investigations are the studies by L. White (47), who explores the Scottish experience, Selgin (33) on China, and Timberlake (43), Gorton (12), and Mullineaux (20), all of whom examin…
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“Sound Money: The Impossible Dream?”
“Our gold standard money didn’t fail us in 1913; it was murdered. Did it deserve to die? What was its crime? It had provided us with nothing less than relative peace and prosperity over a span of 136 years. It had not only retained one hundred percent of its value, it had gained eleven percent.…
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“More Muscle to Fed”
“Mr. Dodd’s bill would allow the Fed to examine any bank-holding company with more than $50 billion in assets, and large financial companies that aren’t banks could be lassoed into the Fed’s supervisory orbit. This came after Treasury officials pushed Mr. Dodd to bring more companies under the Fed’s purview. Any financial company, from small…
-
Monetary Policy in a World of Uncertain Productivity Growth
“This paper considers inflation forecasts for 2001 under two different assumptions about productivity growth. One assumption, the optimistic one, is that productivity growth has risen above its long-run historical average and that 2001 will see near price stability. The other, the pessimistic one, is that monetary policy itself has been a major factor influencing productivity…
-
Inflation
“Inflation rates vary from year to year and from currency to currency. Since 1950, the U.S. dollar inflation rate, as measured by the December-to-December change in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), has ranged from a low of −0.7 percent (1954) to a high of 13.3 percent (1979). Since 1991, the rate has stayed between…
-
“Obama Pays More Than Buffett”
“The bond market is saying that it’s safer to lend to Warren Buffett than Barack Obama. Two-year notes sold by the billionaire’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. in February yield 3.5 basis points less than Treasuries of similar maturity, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Procter & Gamble Co., Johnson & Johnson and Lowe’s Cos. debt also…
-
“Bailout Bonanza”
“Sen. Chris Dodd’s latest bill to fix the financial system is another failure. After months of negotiation, he’s produced a “reform” of the regulatory system that simply fails to deal with the causes of the 2008 crisis — which nearly saw the collapse of the US banking system. Reform is urgently needed, but the senator…
-
“Placing our faith in economic oracles”
“One of the sadder categories in the history of human misfortunes is the list of those things that are obvious, but wrong. By definition, if something is obvious, most people agree with it, and thus, it is likely to win the day – but lose the verdict of history. The Earth is flat – obviously.…
-
“Something Besides Money Growth Causes Inflation?”
“Some economic phenomena can result from a variety of causes. A temporary increase in unemployment, for example, might be caused by a sudden, disruptive change in production technology, or in trade patterns, or in labor or tax laws; or it could be caused by natural disasters or wars, or by recessions due to monetary or…
-
“Giving the Fed New Powers Ignores History”
“The Fed’s own origins are evidence for this point. It is usually argued that the Fed was created to avoid the banking crises that plagued the United States in the late 19th century. That is true to an extent. What it misses is that those crises were the product of the regulations of the National…
-
“Competitve Currencies, Legal Restrictions and the Origins of the Fed”
“In the last several years, economists have produced numoerous studies examining both the theoretical operations and historical manifestations of unregulated banking systems. Recent examples of historical investigations are the studies by L. White (47), who explores the Scottish experience, Selgin (33) on China, and Timberlake (43), Gorton (12), and Mullineaux (20), all of whom examin…
-
“Sound Money: The Impossible Dream?”
“Our gold standard money didn’t fail us in 1913; it was murdered. Did it deserve to die? What was its crime? It had provided us with nothing less than relative peace and prosperity over a span of 136 years. It had not only retained one hundred percent of its value, it had gained eleven percent.…
-
“More Muscle to Fed”
“Mr. Dodd’s bill would allow the Fed to examine any bank-holding company with more than $50 billion in assets, and large financial companies that aren’t banks could be lassoed into the Fed’s supervisory orbit. This came after Treasury officials pushed Mr. Dodd to bring more companies under the Fed’s purview. Any financial company, from small…
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