venezuelan-bolivar

Dollarization the Cure to Venezuela’s Hyperinflation

In Ecuador, for instance, the 1999 dollarization has brought economic stability, kept inflation at bay, and even neutralized the effects of plenty of misguided policies introduced by former President Rafael Correa, a Maduro ally.

Venezuela’s new highest denomination bill will be 500 “sovereign” bolรญvares. (ruurmo)

Once again, Venezuelan President Nicolรกs Maduro exemplifies the wishful thinking that permeates socialist policies.ย Faced with four-digit hyperinflation and rampant shortages, his grand solution is deleting three zeros from the national currency. Problem solved!ย 

Beginning in June, the South American country will have a new currency called the “sovereign” bolรญvar, because evidently the current bolรญvar fuerte (strong) isn’t living up to its name. One sovereign bolรญvar will trade for 1,000 of the old bolรญvares.

This single changeย will bring about โ€œa definitive and structural solution to provide stability to the country,โ€ Maduro claims,ย while leaving all productivity-crippling interventions intact.

In reality, yet another manipulationย of the economy is bound to create moreย problems than it solves. It’s not like Venezuela hasn’t attempted this already.

The late socialist leader Hugo Chรกvez, Maduro’s predecessor,ย originated the bolรญvar fuerte with the sameย monetary gimmick in 2008. It halted inflation for a short time, at least the face value, but it did nothing to reduceย the impact of the countless disastrous economic policies enactedย by the Chavistaย regime.

Ten years later, Venezuela’s situation is the exact opposite of development and stability.

The annual inflation rate is 7,849 percent, according to a calculation byย economist Steve Hanke of the Johns Hopkins-Cato Institute Troubled Currencies Project. Due to the governmentโ€™s intrusion in all aspects of life, more than 1.5 million Venezuelans have fled theย country deep inย a humanitarian crisis.

Those Venezuelans fortunate enough to have savings store themย in US dollars and whatever cryptocurrencies they can get their hands on. The bolรญvarย is so worthless that not even burglars bother to rob it anymore.

Maduro is right about one thing: the current currency has ceased to serve the needs of Venezuelans.ย But claimingย that a new one which remains under the control of the same incompetent and destructive Chavista regime will magically bring trust in money back is either madhouse delusion or perverse lying.

As financial expert Luis Pablo de la Horraย explainsย at Intellectual Takeout:

Expectations about the future purchasing power of a currency affect its demand today, which in turn determines its relative price with respect to other currencies as well as goods and services. Therefore, changing the nominal value of money by removing three zeros is useless as long as confidence in monetary authorities is not restored.

The best way out of Venezuela’s monetary quagmire is dollarization, for it will instantly restore trust and solve hyperinflation.ย Replacing worthless bolรญvares with US dollars would, in Hanke’s words, provide โ€œdiscipline and bring back rules to the system of government.”

In Ecuador, for instance, the 1999 dollarization has brought economic stability, kept inflation at bay, and even neutralized the effects of plenty of misguidedย policies introduced by former Presidentย Rafael Correa, a Maduro ally.

ย 

That solution is unlikely to come from the Chavistas, who don’t want to give up power over money creation. While the future of Venezuela continues in the hands of Maduro and his socialist cronies, all the country will get are patchwork solutions that just prolong the misery.



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