
Bitcoin was originally designed to be stateless, decentralized, and able to facilitate totally free exchange. So itโs not surprising that the Russian government, with its centuries-long tradition of opposition to pretty much all those things, would take a particularly heavy-handed approach to the cryptocurrency. Some might expect that the current Russian regime would do everything it could to ban cryptocurrencies and hope they go away, but Russiaโs response appears to be more complex and perhaps self-contradictory.
Russian officialsโ recent rhetoric on cryptocurrencies has been far from enthusiastic: โThe use of cryptocurrency as a surrogate for the ruble in trading in goods and services, in our opinion, has a risk of undermining the circulation of money,โ said central banker Elvira Nabiullina. โWe will not allow the use of crypto-currency as a surrogate money.โ To that end, the government seems to be encouraging its wealthier citizens to treat cryptocurrencies as long-term assets rather than currencies. Russiaโs finance ministry is drafting plans to treat them like โfederal loan bondsโ (basically a tradeable security rather than currency) and allow Bitcoin and Ethereum to be traded on the Moscow Stock Exchange by โqualified investors.โ Qualified investors must have over 6 million rubles in assets. While that wouldnโt restrict purchases to just the very wealthy (just over $100,000 at todayโs exchange rate), it would still prevent the free flow of digital currencies.
Perhaps strangest of all, the government-sponsored Russian Association of Blockchain and Cryptocurrency (yes, thatโs a real thing) announced plans to subsidize electricity for some Bitcoin miners in the country. Miners, who run Bitcoinโs blockchain-based payment system and are compensated in newly created bitcoins, incur large energy costs.
Bitcoin and Ethereum will likely not have value in the long term unless they prove useful to people as currencies. The Russian government seems to be placing a positive bet on these cryptocurrencies while simultaneously working to undermine their long-term value. It wants its citizens to mine bitcoins, sell them on a stock exchange to wealthier domestic investors, and then place restrictions on using them that would likely lower their value. Of course, governments are composed of numerous individuals, each with their own opinions and agendas, so we should never be surprised when it looks like they arenโt fully on the same page. Or perhaps the real strategy is to horde cryptocurrencies, hope other parts of the world begin to depend on them as money, and then sell at a profit at best or manipulate the market at worst.
Russia should remember that it canโt fully micromanage cryptocurrencies. While monitoring transactions from millions of anonymous and encrypted digital wallets is not impossible, it is difficult and costly. But this set of announcements from Russia also provides a lesson for Bitcoinโs sometimes-utopian supporters: just because a cryptocurrency doesnโt rely on a government in a traditional sense does not mean governments and other large centralized entities wonโt manipulate or distort the market. The outcome of these efforts will be a key factor in determining the currenciesโ long-term success.
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