
Can you imagine scanning the skies, seeing itโs a calm, overcast day, and then realizing youโre in danger? That is the energy world environmentalists are pushing us into.ย
The looming threat of a dull day is something warned about in a new report from the Colorado Public Utilities Commission. Itโs what would critically disrupt an electric system made to rely on weather-dependent renewable energy sources instead of traditional energy sources (coal, natural gas, and nuclear).
As reported by Colorado Public Radio, more solar and wind facilities on the grid would mean that โlong periods of still, overcast weather,โ rather than extreme temperature events, pose the greatest challenge. As report author Nicholas Garza put it, โWhat we would think of as very benign or very boring weather, where you have just persistent cloud coverage and really no wind, thatโs actually going to pose the most significant threat.โ
Making it worse, those times are most likely to occur in the winter, when people will especially be relying on electricity for heat to survive.
Access to readily available electricity is vital. Electricity is a basic human necessity. Fickle, uncertain electricity is up there with dirty water as a hallmark of backwoods isolation or Third World privation.
The thought that American electricity consumers, families with small children, people who need breathing machines, poor parents who just made their one grocery run of the pay period, schools, nursing facilities, and hospitals, would have to live in dread of dull days is an abomination. But for environmentalists and renewable energy zealots who want zero-emissions electricity generation without the dependability (or efficient land use) of zero-emissions nuclear, itโs a necessity.
This intolerable thought is a complete inversion of the heady promises of American electrification.
Reddy, willing and able
I am always there
With lots of power to spare
Because Iโm Reddy Kilowatt!
So sang the longtime electricity mascot in a 1950s advertisement. At the end of the jingle, โReddy Kilowattโ jumped into a wall outlet, telling everyone, โRemember: just plug in. Iโm Reddy!โ
Reddy Kilowatt goes back to 1926, and his creation was truly a flash of inspiration. Ashton B. Collins, general commercial manager of the Alabama Power Company, had returned from an electricity convention seeking a way to persuade people that electricity could serve their needs. About that time, he saw a bolt of lightning diverging in different directions. Legend has it that, โFor a split-second, that lightning reminded Collins of a human figure, and at that moment Reddy Kilowatt sprang from his brow full-grown, like Athena from that of Zeus.โ
Reddy was a lightning-bolt stick figure with a lightbulb nose, socket ears, and an affable smile, and he became the mascot for investor-owned utilities in the 1930s, the early days of rural electrification. The name drove home the intended selling point: electricity is ready to be a โservant to mankind.โ Over 300 companies used Reddyโs likeness in marketing materials, and eventually he became trademarked around the world. Today, old Reddy promotional materials are of great interest to collectors.
The aim here is not to wax nostalgic over a spunky old cartoon character, but to uphold the spirit of electricity thatโs always there. Power thatโs ready, known in electricity generation as dispatchable, has long been peopleโs expectation. Power at the flip of a switch. Energy thatโs immediately available. Just plug in.
Governments mandating and incentivizing nondispatchable sources of electricity generation, however, have endangered that spirit. People have grown so accustomed to power at the flip of a switch (โservant to mankindโ) that they now take it for granted. From that perspective, that dispatchability just is, they can be persuaded that replacing โfossil fuelโ sources (dispatchable) with โrenewableโ sources of electricity (entirely dependent upon weather and the time of day) is a simple thing. Itโs not. You donโt just โplug inโ a generating source that needs Mother Natureโs permission to power things.
The governor of North Carolina, Democrat Roy Cooper, ought to know. The application by the company that built a five-megawatt (MW) solar facility on the Governorโs Nash County property noted the following in its application: โSolar is an intermittent energy source, and therefore the maximum dependable capacity is 0 MW.โ In other words, the most electricity generation the governor or anyone else could expect at any given time is nothing.
Nevertheless, Cooper has ordered the state to convert to โcarbon neutralโ electricity generation by 2050. Because it avoids new nuclear facilities, his demand would require significant overbuilding of renewable facilities. Dealing with such unreliable generation sources requires a great deal of expensive redundancy. Consequently, the stateโs generating capacity would increase by nearly three times the rate of population increase, which is no small matter considering North Carolina is one of the fastest-growing states in the nation.
Europe is already showing what happens to people when governments heedlessly discard dispatchable power generation for electricity at natureโs whim. Last yearโs European โwind droughtโ was a warning. Forecasts for the upcoming winter predict exceptional cold. Worse, the dreaded โDunkelflauteโ is setting in again, the โdark doldrumsโ of still air (no wind) and little sunlight in the winter months.
For the US, the 2022 State of Reliability report by the North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) highlighted fast emerging threats to grid reliability outside of peak demand. As to those, the Institute for Energy Research discussed several of NERC’s key findings regarding renewable resources and grid reliability. They included that peak demand is no longer the only time of clear risk to grid reliability, itโs also โwhen weather-dependent generation is impacted by abnormal atmospheric conditions or when extreme conditions disrupt fuel supplies.โ
Furthermore, there is a greater risk of energy shortfalls (blackouts) thanks to โthe resource mix evolv[ing] toward renewable energy,โ which means โless flexible generation that is fuel-assured, weatherized and dispatchable.โ
As the Institute for Energy Research explained, โWind and solar are making the grid more unreliable as they gain share.โ Any time, but especially in the depths of the cold, electricity consumers must still be able to count on electricity โalways there/with lots of power to spareโ as they have for 100 years. Benign, boring days should never be a threat to the power grid. Doldrums shouldnโt be deadly.
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