In an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal, Fed Chairman Ben Bernankeย commented onย his โexit strategyโ. There is a large amount of money floating around in the economy, and the Fed is finally starting to worry about it. Thus far, banks have held back the flow by keeping high reserves, but as Bernanke says in his statement, โas the economy recovers, banks should find more opportunities to lend out their reserves. That would produce faster growth in broad money (for example, M1 or M2) and easier credit conditions, which could ultimately result in inflationary pressuresโunless we adopt countervailing policy measures.โ
Since the financial crisis began, the Fed and the Treasury have been dumping money onto the economy in an attempt to โjumpstartโ it. What they have managed to do so far is to depress interest rates to new lows, โsaveโ businesses at tax payersโ expense and threaten the economy with higher inflation, with all of this leading to a substantial devaluation of the dollar or even another, greater bursting of the bubble in the future.
While an โexit strategyโ may be an important thing to have at the moment, perhaps the Fed should show better discretion before using its entrance strategy. Had they not confused the market signals that led up to the current problem, there would need (real or imagined) for them to rush to the rescue with such extreme measures. So far the tactic has seemed to be: Create a problem, create another problem to fix the first, and then try again. Perhaps itโs time for a new strategy: Leave it alone when you donโt know what youโre doing.
Sound Money Fellow
Atlas Economic Research Foundation
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