Economic Growth
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“Less than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy”
“Not long ago, many economists were convinced that monetary policy should aim at achieving ‘full employment’. Those who looked upon monetary expansion as a way to eradicate almost all unemployment failed to appreciate that persistent unemployment is a non-monetary or ‘natural’ economic condition, which no amount of monetary medicine can cure. Today most of us…
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Summer Reading III
According to Reinhart and Rogoff, “for the advanced economies during 1800-2008, the picture that emerges is one of serial banking crises.” In This Time is Different, the authors bring us up to the present by examining the history of banking crises. Banking crises are not only frequent , but often accompanied by other kind of…
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“Fed’s Fisher sees slower U.S. Growth Ahead”
“In the second half of 2010, the U.S. will experience “slower economic growth than we’ve had in the first and second quarter,” Fisher told the Japanese business daily Nikkei. He estimated U.S. growth of 2%-3%, saying that the figure will likely come “closer to the low end of that range.” Fisher is not a voting…
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“Crisis, Conditions and Capital”
“A selection model for 68 countries between 1970 and 1998 is used to test the impact of International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs on international capital markets and examine how agreements are perceived by multinational investors. Results reveal that even after controlling for factors that lead countries to seek IMF support, IMF agreements lead to lower…
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“Bernanke Says Fed to Take Necessary Steps on Growth”
“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. central bank will act as needed to aid financial stability and economic growth after restarting emergency currency-swaps to help contain Europe’s debt crisis. ‘Our ongoing international cooperation sends an important signal to global financial markets that we will take the actions necessary to ensure stability and…
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“Warning: Inflation May Be Harmful to Your Growth”
“While few doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is less agreement about the effects of moderate inflation. Using panel regressions and allowing for a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth, which holds robustly at all but the lowest inflation rates. A…
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Monetary Policy in a World of Uncertain Productivity Growth
“This paper considers inflation forecasts for 2001 under two different assumptions about productivity growth. One assumption, the optimistic one, is that productivity growth has risen above its long-run historical average and that 2001 will see near price stability. The other, the pessimistic one, is that monetary policy itself has been a major factor influencing productivity…
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“Something Besides Money Growth Causes Inflation?”
“Some economic phenomena can result from a variety of causes. A temporary increase in unemployment, for example, might be caused by a sudden, disruptive change in production technology, or in trade patterns, or in labor or tax laws; or it could be caused by natural disasters or wars, or by recessions due to monetary or…
-
“Less than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy”
“Not long ago, many economists were convinced that monetary policy should aim at achieving ‘full employment’. Those who looked upon monetary expansion as a way to eradicate almost all unemployment failed to appreciate that persistent unemployment is a non-monetary or ‘natural’ economic condition, which no amount of monetary medicine can cure. Today most of us…
-
Summer Reading III
According to Reinhart and Rogoff, “for the advanced economies during 1800-2008, the picture that emerges is one of serial banking crises.” In This Time is Different, the authors bring us up to the present by examining the history of banking crises. Banking crises are not only frequent , but often accompanied by other kind of…
-
“Fed’s Fisher sees slower U.S. Growth Ahead”
“In the second half of 2010, the U.S. will experience “slower economic growth than we’ve had in the first and second quarter,” Fisher told the Japanese business daily Nikkei. He estimated U.S. growth of 2%-3%, saying that the figure will likely come “closer to the low end of that range.” Fisher is not a voting…
-
“Crisis, Conditions and Capital”
“A selection model for 68 countries between 1970 and 1998 is used to test the impact of International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs on international capital markets and examine how agreements are perceived by multinational investors. Results reveal that even after controlling for factors that lead countries to seek IMF support, IMF agreements lead to lower…
-
“Bernanke Says Fed to Take Necessary Steps on Growth”
“Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said the U.S. central bank will act as needed to aid financial stability and economic growth after restarting emergency currency-swaps to help contain Europe’s debt crisis. ‘Our ongoing international cooperation sends an important signal to global financial markets that we will take the actions necessary to ensure stability and…
-
“Warning: Inflation May Be Harmful to Your Growth”
“While few doubt that very high inflation is bad for growth, there is less agreement about the effects of moderate inflation. Using panel regressions and allowing for a nonlinear specification, this paper finds a statistically and economically significant negative relationship between inflation and growth, which holds robustly at all but the lowest inflation rates. A…
-
Monetary Policy in a World of Uncertain Productivity Growth
“This paper considers inflation forecasts for 2001 under two different assumptions about productivity growth. One assumption, the optimistic one, is that productivity growth has risen above its long-run historical average and that 2001 will see near price stability. The other, the pessimistic one, is that monetary policy itself has been a major factor influencing productivity…
-
“Something Besides Money Growth Causes Inflation?”
“Some economic phenomena can result from a variety of causes. A temporary increase in unemployment, for example, might be caused by a sudden, disruptive change in production technology, or in trade patterns, or in labor or tax laws; or it could be caused by natural disasters or wars, or by recessions due to monetary or…
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