Economic Trends
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Edges Up 0.33 Percent as Inflation Shifts to Services
AIER’s own index posted its largest gain since June, but gains were largely cancelled out by moderation in other categories. Inflation pressures seem to be shifting rather than surging, with gradual disinflation still the dominant trend.
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Census Migration Data Show the Value of Freedom
Americans prefer to live where they can keep what they earn and be left alone — even if the freebies are better elsewhere.
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The Nationalization of AI Threatens Innovation and the American Mind
Artificial intelligence will not destroy us. But fear-driven regulation might.
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What the 50-Year Mortgage Debate Reveals About US Housing Constraints
Ultimately, the debate over 50-year mortgages is less about exotic loan structures and more about the deeper structural limits of America’s housing system.
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Business Conditions Monthly September 2025: Data Blackout
The Fed enters its most consequential meeting of the year blinded by shutdown data gaps, armed instead with private proxies and guesswork.
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AIER’s Thanksgiving Index Near All-Time High: Costs Rise Again As Inflation Persists
Turkey and trimmings will be at or near all-time price highs. New data reveal a slow reacceleration in food-at-home prices driven by energy, labor, and supply-chain costs.
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Data Centers Aren’t the Only Reason Electricity Prices Are Surging
Government regulations and new taxes are adding a hidden ‘policy premium’ to electricity costs.
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Are the Benefits of AI Worth the Risk of ‘White-Collar Bloodbath’?
If AI is powerful enough to produce abundance and reduce scarcity, will worrying about unemployment make sense at all?
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How China Remade Global Trade — and Then Broke It
Trade has made us wealthy and resilient, but also vulnerable to coercion. As China’s economic power peaks, its political model may be reaching its limits.
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Business Conditions Monthly August 2025
Policymakers are already balancing slower growth and sticky costs., and now the federal shutdown has delayed reporting of all the data.
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•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Edges Up 0.33 Percent as Inflation Shifts to Services
AIER’s own index posted its largest gain since June, but gains were largely cancelled out by moderation in other categories. Inflation pressures seem to be shifting rather than surging, with gradual disinflation still the dominant trend.
-
•
Census Migration Data Show the Value of Freedom
Americans prefer to live where they can keep what they earn and be left alone — even if the freebies are better elsewhere.
-
•
The Nationalization of AI Threatens Innovation and the American Mind
Artificial intelligence will not destroy us. But fear-driven regulation might.
-
•
What the 50-Year Mortgage Debate Reveals About US Housing Constraints
Ultimately, the debate over 50-year mortgages is less about exotic loan structures and more about the deeper structural limits of America’s housing system.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly September 2025: Data Blackout
The Fed enters its most consequential meeting of the year blinded by shutdown data gaps, armed instead with private proxies and guesswork.
-
•
AIER’s Thanksgiving Index Near All-Time High: Costs Rise Again As Inflation Persists
Turkey and trimmings will be at or near all-time price highs. New data reveal a slow reacceleration in food-at-home prices driven by energy, labor, and supply-chain costs.
-
•
Data Centers Aren’t the Only Reason Electricity Prices Are Surging
Government regulations and new taxes are adding a hidden ‘policy premium’ to electricity costs.
-
•
Are the Benefits of AI Worth the Risk of ‘White-Collar Bloodbath’?
If AI is powerful enough to produce abundance and reduce scarcity, will worrying about unemployment make sense at all?
-
•
How China Remade Global Trade — and Then Broke It
Trade has made us wealthy and resilient, but also vulnerable to coercion. As China’s economic power peaks, its political model may be reaching its limits.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly August 2025
Policymakers are already balancing slower growth and sticky costs., and now the federal shutdown has delayed reporting of all the data.