Economic Trends
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Delistings Surge as Housing Market Teeters Toward Correction
Sellers are holding out, but buyers aren’t showing up. The standoff signals a dramatic drop in prices might be closer than you think.
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Business Conditions Monthly December 2024
Economic conditions appeared set to improve, but renewed inflation, consumer strain, and unrelenting policy uncertainty are keeping business and investment decisions on hold.
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Trump’s Trade of Munitions for Mining Rights Would Hasten Bretton Woods III
A new economic order reliant on tangible assets and commodities will further erode the dollar’s reserve-currency status.
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Business Conditions Monthly July 2024
“The key question, moving forward, is whether the Federal Reserve’s shift to accommodation will be sufficient to counteract the emerging signs of economic contraction.” ~Peter C. Earle
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Fed Rate Cuts Are Unlikely to Goose the Stock Market or Prevent a Recession
“Rate cuts based on hindsight instead of foresight can confirm a recession but can’t prevent it.” ~Richard Salsman
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Business Conditions Monthly May 2024
“Ongoing data noise driven by pandemic policies, unstable prices, Fed rate hikes, consumer fatigue, and stubborn disinflation early in the year, in combination, broadly suggest an economy experiencing mixed signals.” ~Peter C. Earle
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The End of Restaurants as We Know Them?
“If accelerating US unemployment registers the impact of contractionary monetary policy measures on the broader economy, the current difficulties faced by the restaurant sector are likely to escalate.” ~Peter C. Earle
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Business Conditions Monthly February 2024
“Amidst mixed economic data reminiscent of most of the past two years, there are pockets of strength which are nevertheless overshadowed by inflation concerns and speculation regarding monetary policy actions in the coming quarter or two.” ~Peter C. Earle
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“Stabilization” Is Just Bad Old Rent Control
“Just about the worst way to ‘help’ renters is by punishing property owners for providing rental housing, which is just what rent caps do.” ~Jason Sorens
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Childless China: Coercive Population Plan Implodes
“That China’s downfall stems from its own collectivist policies is no small irony, but it should come as no surprise. It stems from the same flawed thinking that led to the fall of the last communist empire.” ~Jon Miltimore
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•
Delistings Surge as Housing Market Teeters Toward Correction
Sellers are holding out, but buyers aren’t showing up. The standoff signals a dramatic drop in prices might be closer than you think.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly December 2024
Economic conditions appeared set to improve, but renewed inflation, consumer strain, and unrelenting policy uncertainty are keeping business and investment decisions on hold.
-
•
Trump’s Trade of Munitions for Mining Rights Would Hasten Bretton Woods III
A new economic order reliant on tangible assets and commodities will further erode the dollar’s reserve-currency status.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly July 2024
“The key question, moving forward, is whether the Federal Reserve’s shift to accommodation will be sufficient to counteract the emerging signs of economic contraction.” ~Peter C. Earle
-
•
Fed Rate Cuts Are Unlikely to Goose the Stock Market or Prevent a Recession
“Rate cuts based on hindsight instead of foresight can confirm a recession but can’t prevent it.” ~Richard Salsman
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly May 2024
“Ongoing data noise driven by pandemic policies, unstable prices, Fed rate hikes, consumer fatigue, and stubborn disinflation early in the year, in combination, broadly suggest an economy experiencing mixed signals.” ~Peter C. Earle
-
•
The End of Restaurants as We Know Them?
“If accelerating US unemployment registers the impact of contractionary monetary policy measures on the broader economy, the current difficulties faced by the restaurant sector are likely to escalate.” ~Peter C. Earle
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly February 2024
“Amidst mixed economic data reminiscent of most of the past two years, there are pockets of strength which are nevertheless overshadowed by inflation concerns and speculation regarding monetary policy actions in the coming quarter or two.” ~Peter C. Earle
-
•
“Stabilization” Is Just Bad Old Rent Control
“Just about the worst way to ‘help’ renters is by punishing property owners for providing rental housing, which is just what rent caps do.” ~Jason Sorens
-
•
Childless China: Coercive Population Plan Implodes
“That China’s downfall stems from its own collectivist policies is no small irony, but it should come as no surprise. It stems from the same flawed thinking that led to the fall of the last communist empire.” ~Jon Miltimore