โข
Our in-house inflation measure fell one percent, though core household expenses continue to climb. Post-surge relief from gasoline prices concealed smaller effects, buying the Fed some time.
โข
AIER’s cost index rose sharply in May amid higher energy costs, while softer core inflation suggested consumers are becoming more price-sensitive.
โข
In April, AIERโs Everyday Price Index posted one of its sharpest two-month increases since the series began in 1987. Rising service costs point to a long-term problem.
โข
Household costs are rising faster than mainstream inflation gauges reveal. US military adventurism is hitting Americans hard.
โข
Official CPI suggests moderating inflation, but our in-house index clocks the largest increase in 13 months. Affordability will worsen with the outbreak of war with Iran.
โข
AIER’s own index posted its largest gain since June, but gains were largely cancelled out by moderation in other categories. Inflation pressures seem to be shifting rather than surging, with gradual disinflation still the dominant trend.
โข
Our proprietary index barely budged at the end of 2025, but the underlying mix stayed active. Prices are still uneven: rising food categories offset declines in fuel.
โข
While official CPI data remain distorted, the inflation trend appears to be losing momentum across both goods and services.
โข
Sticky service costs, moderating but still-present tariff effects, and a softening labor market combine to put pressure on the Fed.
โข
After a third delay of China tariffs, rising prices, delayed policy effects, and a weakening job market make the Fedโs path to rate cuts uncertain.
โข
Our in-house inflation measure fell one percent, though core household expenses continue to climb. Post-surge relief from gasoline prices concealed smaller effects, buying the Fed some time.
โข
AIER’s cost index rose sharply in May amid higher energy costs, while softer core inflation suggested consumers are becoming more price-sensitive.
โข
In April, AIERโs Everyday Price Index posted one of its sharpest two-month increases since the series began in 1987. Rising service costs point to a long-term problem.
โข
Household costs are rising faster than mainstream inflation gauges reveal. US military adventurism is hitting Americans hard.
โข
Official CPI suggests moderating inflation, but our in-house index clocks the largest increase in 13 months. Affordability will worsen with the outbreak of war with Iran.
โข
AIER’s own index posted its largest gain since June, but gains were largely cancelled out by moderation in other categories. Inflation pressures seem to be shifting rather than surging, with gradual disinflation still the dominant trend.
โข
Our proprietary index barely budged at the end of 2025, but the underlying mix stayed active. Prices are still uneven: rising food categories offset declines in fuel.
โข
While official CPI data remain distorted, the inflation trend appears to be losing momentum across both goods and services.
โข
Sticky service costs, moderating but still-present tariff effects, and a softening labor market combine to put pressure on the Fed.
โข
After a third delay of China tariffs, rising prices, delayed policy effects, and a weakening job market make the Fedโs path to rate cuts uncertain.
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