Inflation
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Sees Modest May 2025 Increase
Disinflationary momentum is building, increasing the likelihood of rate cuts this year. Tariff risks and corporate pricing warnings persist.
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Inflation Remained Low in April, But How Long Can Monetary Policy Remain Tight?
By undershooting its inflation target after clearly stating it would not do so, the Fed risks surprising the public—and perhaps triggering a recession.
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How Interest Rates Set Asset Prices: One Weird Trick
A low funds rate artificially inflated asset values for much of the past 30 years. Zombie industries are now addicted to cheap borrowing.
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April’s Prices Rose, But Inflation Cooled Overall
Energy costs prices pushed prices up, but the money supply is probably increasing as fast as it ought to.
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Continues to Rise in April 2025
Tariffs pushed some prices up in April, but falling service costs and an uncertain outlook make the inflation picture much murkier.
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Fed Holds Steady as Tariff Storm Looms
The Fed seems confident it can hold inflation near two percent, but the full impact of tariffs on prices and employment remains unknowable.
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Consumer Prices Fall in March
Both headline and core inflation are heading in the right direction. But the Fed shouldn’t overcorrect after a single month of falling prices.
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2025
March’s tame inflation reading masks deeper trouble, as fading discretionary spending and looming tariff effects point to rougher economic terrain ahead.
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Inflation Remained Elevated in February
Despite elevated inflation, there are reasons to think inflation may fall in the months ahead.
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New State-Level GDP and Personal Income Figures Show Where Activity Is Picking Up — And Falling Back
Which states are prospering in these uncertain economic times, and which are losing people and tax revenue to neighbors?
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•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Sees Modest May 2025 Increase
Disinflationary momentum is building, increasing the likelihood of rate cuts this year. Tariff risks and corporate pricing warnings persist.
-
•
Inflation Remained Low in April, But How Long Can Monetary Policy Remain Tight?
By undershooting its inflation target after clearly stating it would not do so, the Fed risks surprising the public—and perhaps triggering a recession.
-
•
How Interest Rates Set Asset Prices: One Weird Trick
A low funds rate artificially inflated asset values for much of the past 30 years. Zombie industries are now addicted to cheap borrowing.
-
•
April’s Prices Rose, But Inflation Cooled Overall
Energy costs prices pushed prices up, but the money supply is probably increasing as fast as it ought to.
-
•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Continues to Rise in April 2025
Tariffs pushed some prices up in April, but falling service costs and an uncertain outlook make the inflation picture much murkier.
-
•
Fed Holds Steady as Tariff Storm Looms
The Fed seems confident it can hold inflation near two percent, but the full impact of tariffs on prices and employment remains unknowable.
-
•
Consumer Prices Fall in March
Both headline and core inflation are heading in the right direction. But the Fed shouldn’t overcorrect after a single month of falling prices.
-
•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2025
March’s tame inflation reading masks deeper trouble, as fading discretionary spending and looming tariff effects point to rougher economic terrain ahead.
-
•
Inflation Remained Elevated in February
Despite elevated inflation, there are reasons to think inflation may fall in the months ahead.
-
•
New State-Level GDP and Personal Income Figures Show Where Activity Is Picking Up — And Falling Back
Which states are prospering in these uncertain economic times, and which are losing people and tax revenue to neighbors?