Inflation
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Three Proposals for Price Stability
“As a ‘dark horse’ candidate, Ramaswamy has a greater burden of proof before the electorate. He needs to prove his policy proposals are a cut above his rivals’.” ~ Alexander W. Salter
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How Congress Should Reform the Fed
“Congress should narrow the Fed’s regulatory concerns to maintaining adequate bank capital. It should also consider abolishing the discount window entirely.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Can the Fed Continue to Fight Inflation without Risking a Financial Crisis?
“In principle, the Fed has the ability to provide liquidity to the banking system while simultaneously reducing the incentives banks have to make loans.” ~ Bryan Cutsinger
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The Path to Full Stagflation
“The US economy looks to be pointed in a troubling direction. Federal unemployment data shows record low unemployment, but state-level data paints a different picture: one where the current ‘stagflation lite’ conditions could soon become fully stagflationary.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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What’s Up (and Down) With the Economy?
“I would keep my eye on the LEI (and AIER’s equivalent) but pay special attention to the manufacturing variables. Outside of the LEI, I would also carefully watch real wage trends and its downstream knockoffs (credit card and other debt and defaults, and the personal savings rate).” ~ Robert E. Wright
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Beware the Soft Landing Narrative (Video)
“Earle thinks a more charitable version of the Fed’s handling of monetary policy over the last three years might emerge, resulting in less public skepticism about the limits of monetary policy.” ~ AIER
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Welcome the Disinflation, Beware the Narrative
“Let us all hope that disinflation proceeds expeditiously and, if it does, we remain mindful that the outcome is in spite of, rather than owing to, central bankers and their narrow assortment of lagging and unpredictable policy instruments.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Wage and Price Controls Are Not the Answer to Inflation
“If the US imposed economy-wide price controls, as Krugman proposes, it would not stop inflation, just as the Emperor Diocletian’s economy-wide controls did not stop Roman inflation and just as the 1970s economy-wide controls did not stop US inflation.” ~ Raymond C. Niles
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Putting Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply to Work
“Economists use aggregate demand and aggregate supply (AS-AD model) to understand how inflation and real income growth are jointly determined.” ~ Bryan Cutsinger & Alexander William Salter
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After Three Holiday Seasons, Pandemic Monetary Policy Still Driving up Prices
“The HDAY Index and TDAY Index lead to the same irrefutable conclusion: the ongoing cost of policies implemented to mitigate the spread of COVID are large and, almost three years later, proving disconcertingly persistent.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Three Proposals for Price Stability
“As a ‘dark horse’ candidate, Ramaswamy has a greater burden of proof before the electorate. He needs to prove his policy proposals are a cut above his rivals’.” ~ Alexander W. Salter
-
•
How Congress Should Reform the Fed
“Congress should narrow the Fed’s regulatory concerns to maintaining adequate bank capital. It should also consider abolishing the discount window entirely.” ~ Alexander William Salter
-
•
Can the Fed Continue to Fight Inflation without Risking a Financial Crisis?
“In principle, the Fed has the ability to provide liquidity to the banking system while simultaneously reducing the incentives banks have to make loans.” ~ Bryan Cutsinger
-
•
The Path to Full Stagflation
“The US economy looks to be pointed in a troubling direction. Federal unemployment data shows record low unemployment, but state-level data paints a different picture: one where the current ‘stagflation lite’ conditions could soon become fully stagflationary.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
What’s Up (and Down) With the Economy?
“I would keep my eye on the LEI (and AIER’s equivalent) but pay special attention to the manufacturing variables. Outside of the LEI, I would also carefully watch real wage trends and its downstream knockoffs (credit card and other debt and defaults, and the personal savings rate).” ~ Robert E. Wright
-
•
Beware the Soft Landing Narrative (Video)
“Earle thinks a more charitable version of the Fed’s handling of monetary policy over the last three years might emerge, resulting in less public skepticism about the limits of monetary policy.” ~ AIER
-
•
Welcome the Disinflation, Beware the Narrative
“Let us all hope that disinflation proceeds expeditiously and, if it does, we remain mindful that the outcome is in spite of, rather than owing to, central bankers and their narrow assortment of lagging and unpredictable policy instruments.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Wage and Price Controls Are Not the Answer to Inflation
“If the US imposed economy-wide price controls, as Krugman proposes, it would not stop inflation, just as the Emperor Diocletian’s economy-wide controls did not stop Roman inflation and just as the 1970s economy-wide controls did not stop US inflation.” ~ Raymond C. Niles
-
•
Putting Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply to Work
“Economists use aggregate demand and aggregate supply (AS-AD model) to understand how inflation and real income growth are jointly determined.” ~ Bryan Cutsinger & Alexander William Salter
-
•
After Three Holiday Seasons, Pandemic Monetary Policy Still Driving up Prices
“The HDAY Index and TDAY Index lead to the same irrefutable conclusion: the ongoing cost of policies implemented to mitigate the spread of COVID are large and, almost three years later, proving disconcertingly persistent.” ~ Peter C. Earle