Monetary Policy
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King Dollar’s Uncertain Throne
“With continuing dollar appreciation the likelihood of trade tensions and protectionism increase, as do the possibilities of organized labor agitation. King Dollar is secure for now, but as in all palaces – intrigues persist.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Is The Fed Trying To Inflate Away US Debt?
“The ease with which the concept is expressed, as if debt were an ice cube left on a driveway on a summer day, betrays the numerous costs associated with such a scheme. And that holds whether the undertaking is intentional or not.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Interest Rates and Fed Tightening
“While interest rates can sometimes be useful as a policy barometer, the various monetary measures (from the monetary base at narrowest to total nominal expenditures at broadest) matter far more.” ~ Alexander William Salter
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Revisiting the Pokéflation
“During the massively expansionary monetary response to the Covid outbreak, the price of Pokemon cards and other assets shot to unprecedented levels. Contractionary monetary policy now has the opposite effect.” ~ Peter C. Earle & April Liu
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No, Hyperinflation Is Not Right Around the Corner
“The pursuit of sound money is more profitably directed at identifying profligate monetary policy measures, rather than the consequenceless prediction of extraordinary, and extraordinarily unlikely, outcomes.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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The Fed’s Tough Year
“The current push to expand the Fed’s mandates is consistent with Shull’s Paradox, which states that the more blunders the Fed makes, the more powers and prestige it gets. But we should be reducing the Fed’s powers and mandates, not increasing them.” ~ Alex J. Pollock
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Price Stability First
“The best the federal government can do right now is to announce that no major policy changes will be implemented until the Federal Reserve gets inflation under control.” ~ Robert E. Wright
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Not so Modern Monetary Theory
“If the issue of an unbacked or insufficiently-backed currency exceeds the amount needed to pay the tax, and even exceeds the amount in demand as a medium of exchange, the value of that currency will fall (or, there will be inflation).” ~ Gary M. Pecquet & Clifford F. Thies
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Strike Three for the Federal Reserve
“No batter always gets on base but America, nay the world, has a high-quality pinch hitter that it benched a century ago: the Gold Standard. It’s not perfect but it is far better, and fairer, than the Fed.” ~ Robert E. Wright
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A Drinking Man’s Guide to Monetary Policy
“Just like drinking, expansionary monetary policy can provide a temporary (or transitory) high at first (faster real output growth and reduced unemployment). However, the ill effects come later (in an inflation “hangover”).” ~ Gary M. Galles
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•
King Dollar’s Uncertain Throne
“With continuing dollar appreciation the likelihood of trade tensions and protectionism increase, as do the possibilities of organized labor agitation. King Dollar is secure for now, but as in all palaces – intrigues persist.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Is The Fed Trying To Inflate Away US Debt?
“The ease with which the concept is expressed, as if debt were an ice cube left on a driveway on a summer day, betrays the numerous costs associated with such a scheme. And that holds whether the undertaking is intentional or not.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Interest Rates and Fed Tightening
“While interest rates can sometimes be useful as a policy barometer, the various monetary measures (from the monetary base at narrowest to total nominal expenditures at broadest) matter far more.” ~ Alexander William Salter
-
•
Revisiting the Pokéflation
“During the massively expansionary monetary response to the Covid outbreak, the price of Pokemon cards and other assets shot to unprecedented levels. Contractionary monetary policy now has the opposite effect.” ~ Peter C. Earle & April Liu
-
•
No, Hyperinflation Is Not Right Around the Corner
“The pursuit of sound money is more profitably directed at identifying profligate monetary policy measures, rather than the consequenceless prediction of extraordinary, and extraordinarily unlikely, outcomes.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
The Fed’s Tough Year
“The current push to expand the Fed’s mandates is consistent with Shull’s Paradox, which states that the more blunders the Fed makes, the more powers and prestige it gets. But we should be reducing the Fed’s powers and mandates, not increasing them.” ~ Alex J. Pollock
-
•
Price Stability First
“The best the federal government can do right now is to announce that no major policy changes will be implemented until the Federal Reserve gets inflation under control.” ~ Robert E. Wright
-
•
Not so Modern Monetary Theory
“If the issue of an unbacked or insufficiently-backed currency exceeds the amount needed to pay the tax, and even exceeds the amount in demand as a medium of exchange, the value of that currency will fall (or, there will be inflation).” ~ Gary M. Pecquet & Clifford F. Thies
-
•
Strike Three for the Federal Reserve
“No batter always gets on base but America, nay the world, has a high-quality pinch hitter that it benched a century ago: the Gold Standard. It’s not perfect but it is far better, and fairer, than the Fed.” ~ Robert E. Wright
-
•
A Drinking Man’s Guide to Monetary Policy
“Just like drinking, expansionary monetary policy can provide a temporary (or transitory) high at first (faster real output growth and reduced unemployment). However, the ill effects come later (in an inflation “hangover”).” ~ Gary M. Galles