Jia Liu
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How Fear Helps Predict Stock Returns
Stocks are well known for their high volatility. Stocks respond to financial, economic, and political events in real time. The recent Brexit vote, for example, caused a sharp drop in stock prices. But the U.S. stock market was able to rebound in several days. Going forward, it is certain that stock markets will be sensitive…
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One Chart’s Foreboding Message About the Economy
The Labor Market Conditions Index has fallen into negative territory, and continued to fall since January this year. This indicates that the labor market may be worse as a whole than the individual measures show. The disappointing May jobs report may be not an outlier, but may instead be starting to capture a worsening labor…
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Fed: A Rate Increase May Not Happen Any Time Soon
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged, consistent with public expectation after the disappointing May jobs report.
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Don’t Forget Inflation When Making Financial Decisions
People predict future inflation in many decisions they make, from taking out a car loan or a mortgage, to deciding whether to put money in CDs, bonds, or stocks. Future inflation is also important for the expected profitability of business investment projects.
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Does Government Spending Contribute to the Economy?
When governments spend more money than they bring in, they create budget deficits.
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Why the Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates in June
The market strongly expected that the Fed would hold interest rates steady in its April meeting. The result was consistent with public expectation. Now the bigger question is whether a rate increase will occur in June, the next FOMC meeting with a news conference and a release of economic projections.
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Consumer Prices Were Lackluster in March
Consumer prices in March, released today, showed weaker-than-expected growth. The headline Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in March from February. Even though it is the fastest monthly growth since December 2015, it was lower than economists’ expectations.
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Cheap Oil Won’t Suppress Cost of Living For Long
It’s been a recurring storyline in the last couple of years: Plunging energy prices are pushing down the cost of living. But there’s a good reason why you shouldn’t expect to keep seeing it.
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•
June Rate Increase Is Still A Likely Scenario
As widely expected, the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates at its meeting today. The market is anxious for any signals of the Fed’s policy direction in the near future.
-
•
How Fear Helps Predict Stock Returns
Stocks are well known for their high volatility. Stocks respond to financial, economic, and political events in real time. The recent Brexit vote, for example, caused a sharp drop in stock prices. But the U.S. stock market was able to rebound in several days. Going forward, it is certain that stock markets will be sensitive…
-
•
One Chart’s Foreboding Message About the Economy
The Labor Market Conditions Index has fallen into negative territory, and continued to fall since January this year. This indicates that the labor market may be worse as a whole than the individual measures show. The disappointing May jobs report may be not an outlier, but may instead be starting to capture a worsening labor…
-
•
Fed: A Rate Increase May Not Happen Any Time Soon
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged, consistent with public expectation after the disappointing May jobs report.
-
•
Don’t Forget Inflation When Making Financial Decisions
People predict future inflation in many decisions they make, from taking out a car loan or a mortgage, to deciding whether to put money in CDs, bonds, or stocks. Future inflation is also important for the expected profitability of business investment projects.
-
•
Does Government Spending Contribute to the Economy?
When governments spend more money than they bring in, they create budget deficits.
-
•
Why the Fed Is Likely to Raise Rates in June
The market strongly expected that the Fed would hold interest rates steady in its April meeting. The result was consistent with public expectation. Now the bigger question is whether a rate increase will occur in June, the next FOMC meeting with a news conference and a release of economic projections.
-
•
Consumer Prices Were Lackluster in March
Consumer prices in March, released today, showed weaker-than-expected growth. The headline Consumer Price Index rose 0.1 percent in March from February. Even though it is the fastest monthly growth since December 2015, it was lower than economists’ expectations.
-
•
Cheap Oil Won’t Suppress Cost of Living For Long
It’s been a recurring storyline in the last couple of years: Plunging energy prices are pushing down the cost of living. But there’s a good reason why you shouldn’t expect to keep seeing it.
-
•
June Rate Increase Is Still A Likely Scenario
As widely expected, the Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates at its meeting today. The market is anxious for any signals of the Fed’s policy direction in the near future.