Inflation
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Business Conditions Monthly November 2025
Shelter costs led price increases, but goods price acceleration leveled off. We’ve reached a new, distinctly elevated “normal.”
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•
Three Lessons from Venezuela’s Economic Collapse
Policy choices turned an oil-rich democracy into a petrostate, then into an authoritarian economy where repression followed redistribution.
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•
The Latest Trump Administration Grift: Tariff Checks
Trump’s tariffs haven’t boosted manufacturing; they’ve raised costs and disrupted supply chains. A redistributive dividend check can’t reverse the underlying economic harm.
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Levels Off in December 2025
Our proprietary index barely budged at the end of 2025, but the underlying mix stayed active. Prices are still uneven: rising food categories offset declines in fuel.
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•
The Powell Affair and the Limits of The Fed’s Immunity
The DOJ’s investigation is ugly politics, but we might welcome a test of whether central bankers are subject to the same oversight as everyone else.
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•
AIER Holiday Index: Pandemic Policies Still Raising Prices
Five years of interventionist policy, inflationary finance, and trade restrictions have steadily eroded consumers’ purchasing power.
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•
Inflation Retreats from Late-Summer Highs, Nears Fed Target
Headline and core inflation both cooled over the past two months, led by softening energy costs. Missing data complicates projections.
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•
The Return of Quantitative Easing
After several years of quantitative tightening, the Fed is restarting QE amid persistent market and policy pressures.
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•
Denying the Affordability Crisis Won’t Change the Data
American households are hurting. With wage growth lagging and inflation compounding, no amount of presidential bluster can mask the math.
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•
A Rare Split at the Fed — and Why It Makes Sense
Both hawks and doves cite major rules to justify their stance. But the division inside the Fed isn’t dysfunction — it’s a sign of officials taking both mandates seriously.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly November 2025
Shelter costs led price increases, but goods price acceleration leveled off. We’ve reached a new, distinctly elevated “normal.”
-
•
Three Lessons from Venezuela’s Economic Collapse
Policy choices turned an oil-rich democracy into a petrostate, then into an authoritarian economy where repression followed redistribution.
-
•
The Latest Trump Administration Grift: Tariff Checks
Trump’s tariffs haven’t boosted manufacturing; they’ve raised costs and disrupted supply chains. A redistributive dividend check can’t reverse the underlying economic harm.
-
•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Levels Off in December 2025
Our proprietary index barely budged at the end of 2025, but the underlying mix stayed active. Prices are still uneven: rising food categories offset declines in fuel.
-
•
The Powell Affair and the Limits of The Fed’s Immunity
The DOJ’s investigation is ugly politics, but we might welcome a test of whether central bankers are subject to the same oversight as everyone else.
-
•
AIER Holiday Index: Pandemic Policies Still Raising Prices
Five years of interventionist policy, inflationary finance, and trade restrictions have steadily eroded consumers’ purchasing power.
-
•
Inflation Retreats from Late-Summer Highs, Nears Fed Target
Headline and core inflation both cooled over the past two months, led by softening energy costs. Missing data complicates projections.
-
•
The Return of Quantitative Easing
After several years of quantitative tightening, the Fed is restarting QE amid persistent market and policy pressures.
-
•
Denying the Affordability Crisis Won’t Change the Data
American households are hurting. With wage growth lagging and inflation compounding, no amount of presidential bluster can mask the math.
-
•
A Rare Split at the Fed — and Why It Makes Sense
Both hawks and doves cite major rules to justify their stance. But the division inside the Fed isn’t dysfunction — it’s a sign of officials taking both mandates seriously.