Inflation
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Excess Spending Keeps Inflation Above Target in April
Supply shocks alone cannot explain higher prices. Excessive spending is to blame — and policymakers have failed to connect the dots.
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Could Inflation Help Explain Falling Birth Rates?
Jeffery Degner’s recent book makes the case that monetary policy reshapes time preference, and with it, decisions about family formation.
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Business Conditions Monthly March 2026
The US economy appears on stable footing for now, but inflation, borrowing costs, and other warning signs are accumulating beneath the surface.
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Warsh Inherits a Fed Caught Between Inflation and Trump
Kevin Warsh enters the Fed chairmanship facing sticky inflation, rising energy costs, and strong consumer demand. Prompt action may help avoid politically explosive rate hikes.
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CPI Meets Goodhart’s Law: Can Economic Metrics Become Fallacies?
When measures like CPI and GDP become policy targets, they also become sources of confusion for both experts and the public.
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Jerome Powell’s Mixed Legacy: Successes and Shortcomings at the Fed
Tributes say he engineered a soft landing, but critics note delayed responses to inflation and a troubling expansion of the Fed’s political footprint.
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Headline Inflation Cooled in April, but Core Pressures Picked Up
April inflation data suggest price pressures are becoming broader and more persistent, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates.
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Is Housing Less Affordable Than Ever? Sort Of
Home prices and financing costs are still high, but several indicators suggest the market has moved past peak distortion.
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Surges, Signaling Renewed Inflation Pressure
In April, AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted one of its sharpest two-month increases since the series began in 1987. Rising service costs point to a long-term problem.
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US Debt Crosses 100% of GDP for First Time Since 1946—And This Time Is Different
Mounting entitlement spending and persistent deficits make our fiscal trajectory increasingly difficult to reverse.
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•
Excess Spending Keeps Inflation Above Target in April
Supply shocks alone cannot explain higher prices. Excessive spending is to blame — and policymakers have failed to connect the dots.
-
•
Could Inflation Help Explain Falling Birth Rates?
Jeffery Degner’s recent book makes the case that monetary policy reshapes time preference, and with it, decisions about family formation.
-
•
Business Conditions Monthly March 2026
The US economy appears on stable footing for now, but inflation, borrowing costs, and other warning signs are accumulating beneath the surface.
-
•
Warsh Inherits a Fed Caught Between Inflation and Trump
Kevin Warsh enters the Fed chairmanship facing sticky inflation, rising energy costs, and strong consumer demand. Prompt action may help avoid politically explosive rate hikes.
-
•
CPI Meets Goodhart’s Law: Can Economic Metrics Become Fallacies?
When measures like CPI and GDP become policy targets, they also become sources of confusion for both experts and the public.
-
•
Jerome Powell’s Mixed Legacy: Successes and Shortcomings at the Fed
Tributes say he engineered a soft landing, but critics note delayed responses to inflation and a troubling expansion of the Fed’s political footprint.
-
•
Headline Inflation Cooled in April, but Core Pressures Picked Up
April inflation data suggest price pressures are becoming broader and more persistent, reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates.
-
•
Is Housing Less Affordable Than Ever? Sort Of
Home prices and financing costs are still high, but several indicators suggest the market has moved past peak distortion.
-
•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Surges, Signaling Renewed Inflation Pressure
In April, AIER’s Everyday Price Index posted one of its sharpest two-month increases since the series began in 1987. Rising service costs point to a long-term problem.
-
•
US Debt Crosses 100% of GDP for First Time Since 1946—And This Time Is Different
Mounting entitlement spending and persistent deficits make our fiscal trajectory increasingly difficult to reverse.