Monetary Policy
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“The Austrian Theory: One More Time”
“The Austrian theory is not a theory of recessions per se; it is a theory of the unsustainable boom. As such, it has a much stronger link to the underlying microeconomics than does much of today’s mainstream theorizing. The Austrians focus broadly on credit markets and ask what happens when the price of credit, i.e.,…
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Monetary Policy and Productivity
“This relationship holds, I believe, because low inflation tends to focus people’s attention on productive investments at the same time it promotes confidence by delivering stability, while high inflation tends to encourage speculative investments and discourage investment because it increases uncertainty. If prices are generally stable, for example, then it is difficult to make money…
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“Fed Economic Outlook Sends Investors to Gold”
“The Fed’s commitment to maintaining liquidity and its deteriorating growth outlook are broadly speaking bullish for gold,” said Standard Bank analyst Leon Westgate. Gold is often seen as a stronger store of value than equities and other commodities in times of economic uncertainty, and the metal gained ground after the Federal Open Market Committee on…
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Deflation and Liberty
“The link between the paper dollar and the exponential expansion of public debt is well known. From the point of view of the creditors, the federal government controls the Federal Reserve—the monopoly producer of paper dollars—and it can therefore never go bankrupt. If necessary, the federal government can have any quantity of dollars printed to…
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“The High Costs of Very Low Interest Rates”
“The prevailing view among economists, policy makers and Federal Reserve Board governors is that a zero or near-zero short-term interest rate stimulates the economy—the lower the rate, the better. It is time to re-examine this conventional wisdom. In fact, lowering interest rates too much may not stimulate recovery, but actually slow it. Yes, there are…
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“Gold Is Steady Ahead of Fed”
“Spot gold was mostly flat early Monday in a quiet start to the week, as market participants await the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday. Analysts said they expected the Fed’s comments this week to indirectly boost gold.” Read more. “Gold Is Steady Ahead of Fed” Matthew Walls The Wall Street Journal, August 9, 2010. Image by…
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“Dollar Bears Will Soon Have Had Their Day”
“Dollar bears should soon be hiding their faces. A combination of soft U.S. economic data, over cautious Fed officials and sliding Treasury yields have all raised expectations of more quantitative easing. As a result, the dollar has been sold heavily over the last few weeks as investors have turned elsewhere for higher returns. However, the…
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“Dollar Near Eight-Month Low”
“The dollar traded near an eight-month low against the yen on speculation the Federal Reserve will take more credit easing measures to revive its flagging economic recovery, diminishing the appeal of U.S. assets. The greenback was close to its lowest level in three months versus the euro before a U.S. report today that economists said…
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“Less than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy”
“Not long ago, many economists were convinced that monetary policy should aim at achieving ‘full employment’. Those who looked upon monetary expansion as a way to eradicate almost all unemployment failed to appreciate that persistent unemployment is a non-monetary or ‘natural’ economic condition, which no amount of monetary medicine can cure. Today most of us…
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“Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates”
“This paper tests for the existence of asymmetric information between the Federal Reserve and the public by examining Federal Reserve and commercial inflation forecasts. It demonstrates that the Federal Reserve has considerable information about inflation beyond what is known to commercial forecasters. It also shows that monetary-policy actions provide signals of the Federal Reserve’s information…
-
“The Austrian Theory: One More Time”
“The Austrian theory is not a theory of recessions per se; it is a theory of the unsustainable boom. As such, it has a much stronger link to the underlying microeconomics than does much of today’s mainstream theorizing. The Austrians focus broadly on credit markets and ask what happens when the price of credit, i.e.,…
-
Monetary Policy and Productivity
“This relationship holds, I believe, because low inflation tends to focus people’s attention on productive investments at the same time it promotes confidence by delivering stability, while high inflation tends to encourage speculative investments and discourage investment because it increases uncertainty. If prices are generally stable, for example, then it is difficult to make money…
-
“Fed Economic Outlook Sends Investors to Gold”
“The Fed’s commitment to maintaining liquidity and its deteriorating growth outlook are broadly speaking bullish for gold,” said Standard Bank analyst Leon Westgate. Gold is often seen as a stronger store of value than equities and other commodities in times of economic uncertainty, and the metal gained ground after the Federal Open Market Committee on…
-
Deflation and Liberty
“The link between the paper dollar and the exponential expansion of public debt is well known. From the point of view of the creditors, the federal government controls the Federal Reserve—the monopoly producer of paper dollars—and it can therefore never go bankrupt. If necessary, the federal government can have any quantity of dollars printed to…
-
“The High Costs of Very Low Interest Rates”
“The prevailing view among economists, policy makers and Federal Reserve Board governors is that a zero or near-zero short-term interest rate stimulates the economy—the lower the rate, the better. It is time to re-examine this conventional wisdom. In fact, lowering interest rates too much may not stimulate recovery, but actually slow it. Yes, there are…
-
“Gold Is Steady Ahead of Fed”
“Spot gold was mostly flat early Monday in a quiet start to the week, as market participants await the Federal Reserve meeting Tuesday. Analysts said they expected the Fed’s comments this week to indirectly boost gold.” Read more. “Gold Is Steady Ahead of Fed” Matthew Walls The Wall Street Journal, August 9, 2010. Image by…
-
“Dollar Bears Will Soon Have Had Their Day”
“Dollar bears should soon be hiding their faces. A combination of soft U.S. economic data, over cautious Fed officials and sliding Treasury yields have all raised expectations of more quantitative easing. As a result, the dollar has been sold heavily over the last few weeks as investors have turned elsewhere for higher returns. However, the…
-
“Dollar Near Eight-Month Low”
“The dollar traded near an eight-month low against the yen on speculation the Federal Reserve will take more credit easing measures to revive its flagging economic recovery, diminishing the appeal of U.S. assets. The greenback was close to its lowest level in three months versus the euro before a U.S. report today that economists said…
-
“Less than Zero: The Case for a Falling Price Level in a Growing Economy”
“Not long ago, many economists were convinced that monetary policy should aim at achieving ‘full employment’. Those who looked upon monetary expansion as a way to eradicate almost all unemployment failed to appreciate that persistent unemployment is a non-monetary or ‘natural’ economic condition, which no amount of monetary medicine can cure. Today most of us…
-
“Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates”
“This paper tests for the existence of asymmetric information between the Federal Reserve and the public by examining Federal Reserve and commercial inflation forecasts. It demonstrates that the Federal Reserve has considerable information about inflation beyond what is known to commercial forecasters. It also shows that monetary-policy actions provide signals of the Federal Reserve’s information…
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