Monetary Economics
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AIER’s Everyday Price Index Ends 2023 with Third Consecutive Monthly Decline
“The recent reduction in disinflationary pressures related to core goods, which had been a significant factor in easing price pressures in recent months, seems to have diminished.” ~Peter C. Earle
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Economic Revolution in Argentina: A Wake-Up Call for America’s Fiscal Future
“We can’t be too proud to take a tip from Argentina. The perilous outcomes of unchecked government spending can manifest anywhere.” ~Vance Ginn
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On Monetary Premia
“One day we might look back at our cottage industry of diversified funds, tax-favored retirement accounts, capital gains taxes, clever accountants, hedge fund managers, Fed watchers, and army of central bank economists as positively medieval.” ~Joakim Book
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The Economic Organization of a Military Training Scenario
“Nobody ever planned MRE cheese spread as the preferred medium of exchange between military service members. Cheese spontaneously emerged, again and again, in a process of competition between goods.” ~Emile Phaneuf III
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Christmas Calculations and Yuletide Yields
“Consider the choice Christmas tree farmers face. They can chop the tree and sell it, or they could let the tree continue to grow. Farmers maximize their profits and chop the tree when the tree’s yield falls below the market rate.” ~Byron B. Carson, III
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Dollarization Is Not Magic
“Rather than dismissing it as magic, one should recognize that dollarization is a pragmatic approach to restoring stability in high-inflation countries that lack credible institutions.” ~Nicolás Cachanosky
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Inflation Undershoots Fed Projections
“The FOMC changed course last week, foregoing a previously projected rate hike and projecting deeper rate cuts in 2024 than previously anticipated. But those rate cuts may come too late.” ~William J. Luther
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The Inflationary-Profits Hypothesis is Mush
“Once a bastion of sound reporting, the Wall Street Journal’s economy desk is slowly descending into incoherence…Simple economics demonstrates why the inflationary-profits hypothesis is bunk.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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FOMC Holds Rates, Revises Projections
“After months of worrying that they had not yet done enough, FOMC members now seem to think they have a handle on inflation and will see it gradually return to 2 percent. Let’s hope they are correct.” ~William J. Luther
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Despite CPI Uptick, Monetary Policy Remains Tight
“The slight bump in inflation won’t spook them into going even tighter. And despite the cries from financial markets, it’s too early to contemplate cuts.” ~Alexander W. Salter
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•
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Ends 2023 with Third Consecutive Monthly Decline
“The recent reduction in disinflationary pressures related to core goods, which had been a significant factor in easing price pressures in recent months, seems to have diminished.” ~Peter C. Earle
-
•
Economic Revolution in Argentina: A Wake-Up Call for America’s Fiscal Future
“We can’t be too proud to take a tip from Argentina. The perilous outcomes of unchecked government spending can manifest anywhere.” ~Vance Ginn
-
•
On Monetary Premia
“One day we might look back at our cottage industry of diversified funds, tax-favored retirement accounts, capital gains taxes, clever accountants, hedge fund managers, Fed watchers, and army of central bank economists as positively medieval.” ~Joakim Book
-
•
The Economic Organization of a Military Training Scenario
“Nobody ever planned MRE cheese spread as the preferred medium of exchange between military service members. Cheese spontaneously emerged, again and again, in a process of competition between goods.” ~Emile Phaneuf III
-
•
Christmas Calculations and Yuletide Yields
“Consider the choice Christmas tree farmers face. They can chop the tree and sell it, or they could let the tree continue to grow. Farmers maximize their profits and chop the tree when the tree’s yield falls below the market rate.” ~Byron B. Carson, III
-
•
Dollarization Is Not Magic
“Rather than dismissing it as magic, one should recognize that dollarization is a pragmatic approach to restoring stability in high-inflation countries that lack credible institutions.” ~Nicolás Cachanosky
-
•
Inflation Undershoots Fed Projections
“The FOMC changed course last week, foregoing a previously projected rate hike and projecting deeper rate cuts in 2024 than previously anticipated. But those rate cuts may come too late.” ~William J. Luther
-
•
The Inflationary-Profits Hypothesis is Mush
“Once a bastion of sound reporting, the Wall Street Journal’s economy desk is slowly descending into incoherence…Simple economics demonstrates why the inflationary-profits hypothesis is bunk.” ~Alexander W. Salter
-
•
FOMC Holds Rates, Revises Projections
“After months of worrying that they had not yet done enough, FOMC members now seem to think they have a handle on inflation and will see it gradually return to 2 percent. Let’s hope they are correct.” ~William J. Luther
-
•
Despite CPI Uptick, Monetary Policy Remains Tight
“The slight bump in inflation won’t spook them into going even tighter. And despite the cries from financial markets, it’s too early to contemplate cuts.” ~Alexander W. Salter