Monetary Economics
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No, Hyperinflation Is Not Right Around the Corner
“The pursuit of sound money is more profitably directed at identifying profligate monetary policy measures, rather than the consequenceless prediction of extraordinary, and extraordinarily unlikely, outcomes.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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The Fed’s Tough Year
“The current push to expand the Fed’s mandates is consistent with Shull’s Paradox, which states that the more blunders the Fed makes, the more powers and prestige it gets. But we should be reducing the Fed’s powers and mandates, not increasing them.” ~ Alex J. Pollock
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There Is No Such Thing As Wage-Driven Inflation
“Friedman’s pouncing on Heller has, unfortunately, had no effect on American journalists. News shows and economic commentators still repeat variants of the claim made by Heller: Rising wages will contribute to inflation.” ~ Vincent Geloso
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What Happened to Reducing Inflation?
“The NBC News poll asked what impact voters believed the new law, whatever it is called, will have on them personally. Just 26 percent said it would make things better; 35 percent said it would make things worse.” ~ Michael Graham
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Price Stability First
“The best the federal government can do right now is to announce that no major policy changes will be implemented until the Federal Reserve gets inflation under control.” ~ Robert E. Wright
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About That “0 Percent” Inflation in July
“Americans consume goods and services, not the CPI. A look within the June to July 2022 price index exposes 0% inflation as a meaningless statistical aberration. Celebrating it as an achievement is pitiful.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Making Sense of the Recession
“Unemployment, for good reason, lags the onset of recessions. And assuming that a widespread burst in employment categorically signifies optimism or portends a quick resumption of economic growth is simply unwarranted.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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The Recession is Here. Will Stagflation Follow?
“An ugly picture is coming into focus: rising inflation, slowing growth, and a job market that looks poised to deteriorate. Bearing in mind the lag associated with employment, it is no longer unthinkable that stagflation may be ahead.” ~ Peter C. Earle
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Is America in a Recession?
“Traditionally, NBER calls recessions and other phases of business cycles, but only retrospectively, and mostly just for scholars. Nobody actually involved in trading securities or making policy waits for its decisions and voters certainly won’t.” ~ Robert E. Wright
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El Salvador and Bitcoin: A Love-Hate Story
“El Salvador can be seen as either a pioneer in the world of cryptocurrencies or as a country that is reckless in its government finances.” ~ Daniel Fernández
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•
No, Hyperinflation Is Not Right Around the Corner
“The pursuit of sound money is more profitably directed at identifying profligate monetary policy measures, rather than the consequenceless prediction of extraordinary, and extraordinarily unlikely, outcomes.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
The Fed’s Tough Year
“The current push to expand the Fed’s mandates is consistent with Shull’s Paradox, which states that the more blunders the Fed makes, the more powers and prestige it gets. But we should be reducing the Fed’s powers and mandates, not increasing them.” ~ Alex J. Pollock
-
•
There Is No Such Thing As Wage-Driven Inflation
“Friedman’s pouncing on Heller has, unfortunately, had no effect on American journalists. News shows and economic commentators still repeat variants of the claim made by Heller: Rising wages will contribute to inflation.” ~ Vincent Geloso
-
•
What Happened to Reducing Inflation?
“The NBC News poll asked what impact voters believed the new law, whatever it is called, will have on them personally. Just 26 percent said it would make things better; 35 percent said it would make things worse.” ~ Michael Graham
-
•
Price Stability First
“The best the federal government can do right now is to announce that no major policy changes will be implemented until the Federal Reserve gets inflation under control.” ~ Robert E. Wright
-
•
About That “0 Percent” Inflation in July
“Americans consume goods and services, not the CPI. A look within the June to July 2022 price index exposes 0% inflation as a meaningless statistical aberration. Celebrating it as an achievement is pitiful.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Making Sense of the Recession
“Unemployment, for good reason, lags the onset of recessions. And assuming that a widespread burst in employment categorically signifies optimism or portends a quick resumption of economic growth is simply unwarranted.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
The Recession is Here. Will Stagflation Follow?
“An ugly picture is coming into focus: rising inflation, slowing growth, and a job market that looks poised to deteriorate. Bearing in mind the lag associated with employment, it is no longer unthinkable that stagflation may be ahead.” ~ Peter C. Earle
-
•
Is America in a Recession?
“Traditionally, NBER calls recessions and other phases of business cycles, but only retrospectively, and mostly just for scholars. Nobody actually involved in trading securities or making policy waits for its decisions and voters certainly won’t.” ~ Robert E. Wright
-
•
El Salvador and Bitcoin: A Love-Hate Story
“El Salvador can be seen as either a pioneer in the world of cryptocurrencies or as a country that is reckless in its government finances.” ~ Daniel Fernández