Senior Research Faculty
Robert Hughes joined AIER in 2013 following more than 25 years in economic and financial markets research on Wall Street. Bob was formerly the head of Global Equity Strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, where he developed equity investment strategy combining top-down macro analysis with bottom-up fundamentals. Prior to BBH, Bob was a Senior Equity Strategist for State Street Global Markets, Senior Economic Strategist with Prudential Equity Group and Senior Economist and Financial Markets Analyst for Citicorp Investment Services. Bob has a MA in economics from Fordham University and a BS in business from Lehigh University.
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The Thanksgiving holiday is over and the final month of 2016 is approaching. The coming week brings a crowded list of important economic events, and beyond it, some big economic news to watch in December.
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We received more data this morning that show the housing market with continued upward momentum.
โข
A moderately upbeat October jobs report suggests the economic expansion continues to grind ahead and the labor market continues to tighten. The October gains in jobs and wages suggest the economy is maintaining positive momentum in the early part of the fourth quarter.
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The preliminary estimate for personal income for the third quarter shows a 3.9 percent increase, the same pace as in the second quarter, according to new data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning. These are solid though not spectacular gains.
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Todayโs report from the Department of Commerce on new orders and shipments of durable goods sent mixed signals on the state of the economy and outlook for third quarter GDP.
โข
Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.1 percent in September to a pace of 593,000 homes, from a downward revised 575,000 pace in August (see chart). Though new home sales have been trending higher since hitting a post-recession low of 270,000 in February 2011, the overall level of activity remains tepid by historical standards. Over…
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Kevin C. Donnelly asks: โWhere does the data suggest the average American is in terms of work hours a week and wage growth less inflation, and what does that mean for long-run trends?โ Thanks for the question. For hours worked, there has been a long-term declining trend in the average workweek for production and nonsupervisory…
โข
Inflation trends tend to evolve slowly, though individual components like energy prices or food prices can be volatile month to month. There are three key points to note from the September CPI report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics: First, the total CPI rose 0.3 percent for the month, led by a large 2.9 percent…
โข
Our index of leading indicators moved back above 50 for the first time since January, reflecting a more positive tilt to recent economic data. Thatโs according to our October edition of Business Conditions Monthly, which we are releasing today. However, as we cautioned when our index first fell below 50, one month does not make…
โข
A solid though not spectacular September Employment Report suggests the economy is maintaining positive momentum heading into the fourth quarter. Accelerating wage gains on top of a good pace of jobs growth should provide support for further increases in consumer spending in the final quarter of the year. Economic growth should be stronger in the…
โข
The Thanksgiving holiday is over and the final month of 2016 is approaching. The coming week brings a crowded list of important economic events, and beyond it, some big economic news to watch in December.
โข
We received more data this morning that show the housing market with continued upward momentum.
โข
A moderately upbeat October jobs report suggests the economic expansion continues to grind ahead and the labor market continues to tighten. The October gains in jobs and wages suggest the economy is maintaining positive momentum in the early part of the fourth quarter.
โข
The preliminary estimate for personal income for the third quarter shows a 3.9 percent increase, the same pace as in the second quarter, according to new data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning. These are solid though not spectacular gains.
โข
Todayโs report from the Department of Commerce on new orders and shipments of durable goods sent mixed signals on the state of the economy and outlook for third quarter GDP.
โข
Sales of new single-family homes rose 3.1 percent in September to a pace of 593,000 homes, from a downward revised 575,000 pace in August (see chart). Though new home sales have been trending higher since hitting a post-recession low of 270,000 in February 2011, the overall level of activity remains tepid by historical standards. Over…
โข
Kevin C. Donnelly asks: โWhere does the data suggest the average American is in terms of work hours a week and wage growth less inflation, and what does that mean for long-run trends?โ Thanks for the question. For hours worked, there has been a long-term declining trend in the average workweek for production and nonsupervisory…
โข
Inflation trends tend to evolve slowly, though individual components like energy prices or food prices can be volatile month to month. There are three key points to note from the September CPI report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics: First, the total CPI rose 0.3 percent for the month, led by a large 2.9 percent…
โข
Our index of leading indicators moved back above 50 for the first time since January, reflecting a more positive tilt to recent economic data. Thatโs according to our October edition of Business Conditions Monthly, which we are releasing today. However, as we cautioned when our index first fell below 50, one month does not make…
โข
A solid though not spectacular September Employment Report suggests the economy is maintaining positive momentum heading into the fourth quarter. Accelerating wage gains on top of a good pace of jobs growth should provide support for further increases in consumer spending in the final quarter of the year. Economic growth should be stronger in the…
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