Senior Research Faculty
Robert Hughes joined AIER in 2013 following more than 25 years in economic and financial markets research on Wall Street. Bob was formerly the head of Global Equity Strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman, where he developed equity investment strategy combining top-down macro analysis with bottom-up fundamentals. Prior to BBH, Bob was a Senior Equity Strategist for State Street Global Markets, Senior Economic Strategist with Prudential Equity Group and Senior Economist and Financial Markets Analyst for Citicorp Investment Services. Bob has a MA in economics from Fordham University and a BS in business from Lehigh University.
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The monthly economic data cycle kicked off with two early reads on activity for September. First is the Institute for Supply Managementโs Purchasing Managersโ Index, or PMI, a survey of purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers. The composite PMI rebounded to 51.5 from 49.4 in August. Readings above 50 suggest expansion, and readings below 50 suggest…
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Durable goods orders were flat in August, but core capital goods posted their third straight gain, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. Orders for durable goods โ items meant to last three years or more โ were unchanged in August following a 3.6 percent jump in July. In general, durable-goods orders…
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Sales of new single-family homes fell in August after posting strong gains for much of the past year. Sales came in at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 609,000, down from 659,000 in July, a drop of 10.7 percent. However, that is 33 percent above the September 2015 rate of 457,000. New home sales have…
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Amid some conflicting economic signals, Americans are still showing an increasing willingness to expand their credit use. This may be a sign that despite flagging business investment and moderate growth in the jobs market, consumers remain confident in their personal financial situations.
โข
These data suggest the labor market may be quite tight. This would also suggest support for better wage growth, as employers bid up wages to lure the best candidates to fill open jobs.
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Yesterday we noted the weaker reading from the Chicago Purchasing Managersโ Index data on manufacturing activity in the Chicago area. This tends to foreshadow the state of the national manufacturing sector. The Chicago report turned out to be a good predictor of the national manufacturing index released today by the Institute for Supply Management.
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The ADP national payroll report for August suggests private payrolls in the U.S. added 177,000 new jobs. The 177,000 gain for August is less than what we saw in July, which was revised upward to an estimated 194,000. We pay attention to this report because it tends to suggest what we might see from the…
โข
The Commerce Department report on manufacturersโ new orders for durable goods showed a strong gain in July, the best month since January (Chart 1). Orders for durable goods jumped 4.4 percent following a 4.2 percent decline in June.
โข
Over the last week weโve received a clearer picture of a labor market that remains healthy.
โข
While the jobs market and consumer spending have showed renewed strength recently, the nationโs manufacturers continue to struggle.
โข
The monthly economic data cycle kicked off with two early reads on activity for September. First is the Institute for Supply Managementโs Purchasing Managersโ Index, or PMI, a survey of purchasing managers at U.S. manufacturers. The composite PMI rebounded to 51.5 from 49.4 in August. Readings above 50 suggest expansion, and readings below 50 suggest…
โข
Durable goods orders were flat in August, but core capital goods posted their third straight gain, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. Orders for durable goods โ items meant to last three years or more โ were unchanged in August following a 3.6 percent jump in July. In general, durable-goods orders…
โข
Sales of new single-family homes fell in August after posting strong gains for much of the past year. Sales came in at a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 609,000, down from 659,000 in July, a drop of 10.7 percent. However, that is 33 percent above the September 2015 rate of 457,000. New home sales have…
โข
Amid some conflicting economic signals, Americans are still showing an increasing willingness to expand their credit use. This may be a sign that despite flagging business investment and moderate growth in the jobs market, consumers remain confident in their personal financial situations.
โข
These data suggest the labor market may be quite tight. This would also suggest support for better wage growth, as employers bid up wages to lure the best candidates to fill open jobs.
โข
Yesterday we noted the weaker reading from the Chicago Purchasing Managersโ Index data on manufacturing activity in the Chicago area. This tends to foreshadow the state of the national manufacturing sector. The Chicago report turned out to be a good predictor of the national manufacturing index released today by the Institute for Supply Management.
โข
The ADP national payroll report for August suggests private payrolls in the U.S. added 177,000 new jobs. The 177,000 gain for August is less than what we saw in July, which was revised upward to an estimated 194,000. We pay attention to this report because it tends to suggest what we might see from the…
โข
The Commerce Department report on manufacturersโ new orders for durable goods showed a strong gain in July, the best month since January (Chart 1). Orders for durable goods jumped 4.4 percent following a 4.2 percent decline in June.
โข
Over the last week weโve received a clearer picture of a labor market that remains healthy.
โข
While the jobs market and consumer spending have showed renewed strength recently, the nationโs manufacturers continue to struggle.
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