
Editors Note: This article has been republished from the Foundation for Economic Education in light of the Biden Administration’s Student-Loan Forgiveness Program.
Reality has a habit of interrupting the stories people tell themselves.
The 18th-century philosopher George Berkeley constructed complex arguments to prove that matter doesnโt really exist. In response, Samuel Johnson famously kicked a rock and said, โI refute (him) thus.โ
Like Berkeley, our politicians spend too much time imagining how they might shape society to achieve their preferred outcomes. But they donโt live in the real world. When you earn enough that you donโt have to ask how much things cost, and youโre surrounded by people who are afraid to tell you when youโre full of it, you wonโt often know when youโre thinking stupid thoughts.
But once in a while, someone like Samuel Johnson comes along, and with a few words brings reality back into sharp focus. We received two such welcome doses of reality this month. January opened with Ricky Gervais reminding the Hollywood glitterati who pontificate on economics and politics that they have no idea what theyโre talking about. And now it closes with an angry father confronting presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren about her proposal to forgive student loans.
Unfair Paybacks
The father, who worked two jobs so his daughter could graduate college with no debt, asked, โAm I going to get my money back?โ Warrenโs reply: โOf course not.โ
With those three words, reality intruded into Warrenโs story about student debt forgiveness, and everyone except Warren appeared to realize it. The father drove the lesson home:
My buddy had fun, bought a car, went on vacations. I saved my money. He made more than I did. … We did the right thing, and we get screwed.
But still, Elizabeth Warren didnโt get it.
Politiciansโ elaborate plans for โfixingโ things so often go awry because, in their minds, we will all respond to their policy tinkerings in exactly the way they intend. In Warrenโs mind, her plan to have the government โforgiveโ student loans will magically resolve with students everywhere being debt-free, and everyone elseโs lives being the better for it.
But thatโs not how it works. People donโt respond to laws. People respond to incentives.
The Wrong Incentives
When politicians decide to โforgiveโ debt, they give people an incentive to borrow more and to borrow less prudently. For the same reason that peopleโs menu choices change when someone else is picking up the tab at the restaurant, so too would studentsโ and parentsโ behaviors change if Warren forces someone else to pay the tuition bill.
Too many students already choose majors that have little market value. Imagine how much worse this would be when students donโt have to pay back the money they borrow for their degrees. College tuition is already too high. Imagine how much worse this would be when students donโt care how much college costs because someone else is paying the bill.
Too few high school students already choose to go into the trades. Imagine how much worse this would be when high school seniors face a choice of working to learn a trade or spending four years partying on the taxpayersโ dime. The federal government already runs trillion-dollar deficits. Imagine how much worse this would be when the government has to spend even more money each year to pay off student loan debts.
The stark reality is that โforgiving student debtโ really means forcing people who didnโt go to college to pay for those who did, and forcing people who scrimped and saved for college to pay for those who didnโt. This punishes prudent, frugal choices while rewarding their opposite.
The father who confronted Elizabeth Warren knows this, but Warren just canโt see it. He is Samuel Johnson, kicking her rock. Apparently he didnโt kick hard enough.
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