A nominal spending target would spare The Fed guessing about the causes of inflation. The Chairman’s new task force could apply a rule instead.
โข
June’s PCE report showed prices falling as energy prices retreated, but underlying inflation and nominal spending remain too strong.
โข
Markets, monetary policy rules, and three Fed governors all pointed toward another rate increase. The committee chose to wait instead.
โข
If the Fed leaves rates unchanged this week, the September meeting will take on added importance.
โข
Markets sharply reduced the odds of a July rate increase after June CPI showed broad-based moderation in prices.
Monetary policy deserves insulation from politics, but regulation and emergency lending powers may not. Can Congress and the Courts differentiate?
Political pressure has made it harder to distinguish sound monetary policy from strategic posturing. Congress, not SCOTUS, is empowered to change that.
Sound money needs rules, not a maestro, a tension embodied in Alan Greenspanโs long tenure at the Fed.
The Federal Reserveโs independence is often defended as essential to sound monetary policy, but it comes at the cost of meaningful democratic accountability.
Supply shocks alone cannot explain higher prices. Excessive spending is to blame โ and policymakers have failed to connect the dots.
A nominal spending target would spare The Fed guessing about the causes of inflation. The Chairman’s new task force could apply a rule instead.
โข
June’s PCE report showed prices falling as energy prices retreated, but underlying inflation and nominal spending remain too strong.
โข
Markets, monetary policy rules, and three Fed governors all pointed toward another rate increase. The committee chose to wait instead.
โข
If the Fed leaves rates unchanged this week, the September meeting will take on added importance.
โข
Markets sharply reduced the odds of a July rate increase after June CPI showed broad-based moderation in prices.
Monetary policy deserves insulation from politics, but regulation and emergency lending powers may not. Can Congress and the Courts differentiate?
Political pressure has made it harder to distinguish sound monetary policy from strategic posturing. Congress, not SCOTUS, is empowered to change that.
Sound money needs rules, not a maestro, a tension embodied in Alan Greenspanโs long tenure at the Fed.
The Federal Reserveโs independence is often defended as essential to sound monetary policy, but it comes at the cost of meaningful democratic accountability.
Supply shocks alone cannot explain higher prices. Excessive spending is to blame โ and policymakers have failed to connect the dots.
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